A Study on Forecastıng the Impact of Covıd-19 on Emergency Servıce in a Publıc Hospıtal

dc.contributor.authorFatma Gül, Fatma Gülen_US
dc.contributor.authorÇelik Eroğlu, Şeymaen_US
dc.date.accessioned2022-11-01T08:27:52Zen_US
dc.date.available2022-11-01T08:27:52Zen_US
dc.date.issued2022-10-30en_US
dc.description.abstractThe COVID-19 pandemic has seriously threatened human life all over the world since the first quarter of 2020. Hospitals have fought on the frontlines against this threat. The aim of this study is to predict the number of monthly emergency service patients for a public hospital. In particular, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the number of emergency service patients was examined. While the data set for the period January 2012- June 2021 (114 months) is used in the analyses, two different data sets were created for the Box- Jenkins (B-J) and Gray Prediction approaches. Then, the number of monthly emergency service patients was predicted using the SARIMA model, GM (1,1) and TGM. In the analyses, while examining the long-term trend of the number emergency services patients’ using the SARIMA model, GM (1,1) and TGM were used to focus on the COVID-19 period. The findings suggest that the TGM has the most successful results in terms of evaluation criteriaen_US
dc.identifier.issn2149-1658en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11672/3992en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherMehmet Akif Ersoy University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences Facultyen_US
dc.relation.isversionof10.30798/makuiibf.1033816en_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectCOVID-19en_US
dc.subjectEmergency Serviceen_US
dc.subjectSarımaen_US
dc.subjectGM (1,1)en_US
dc.subjectTGMen_US
dc.titleA Study on Forecastıng the Impact of Covıd-19 on Emergency Servıce in a Publıc Hospıtalen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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